Vitória 2–0 Atlético Mineiro
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.4 – 0.8
- Actual xG
- 0.3 – 1.0
- Goals
- 2 – 0
Footybot made Vitória favourites at 53%.
Vitória won although Atlético Mineiro made the better chances (1.0 xG to 0.3): a result the chances didn't back.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Lucas Arcanjo, 62.1 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Renan Lodi +19.1, Ángelo Preciado +16.1, Lucas Arcanjo +15.5.
Well below it: Tomás Cuello −13.7, Camutanga −11.5, Everson −8.8.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Vitória
| 11 Mar 2026 | D 1–1 | at Bahia |
| 11 Feb 2026 | L 1–2 | v Flamengo |
| 5 Feb 2026 | L 1–5 | at Palmeiras |
| 28 Jan 2026 | W 2–0 | v Remo |
| 7 Dec 2025 | W 1–0 | v São Paulo |
Atlético Mineiro
| 11 Mar 2026 | W 1–0 | v Internacional |
| 26 Feb 2026 | L 1–2 | at Grêmio |
| 11 Feb 2026 | D 3–3 | v Remo |
| 4 Feb 2026 | L 0–1 | at Red Bull Bragantino |
| 28 Jan 2026 | D 2–2 | v Palmeiras |
Head to head
| 31 Aug 2025 | Vitória 1–0 Atlético Mineiro |
Vitória
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Arcanjo | 90 | 62.1 | +15.5 |
| Renato Kayzer | 67 | 47.5 | +0.8 |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 90 | 45.6 | −0.0 |
| Matheuzinho | 67 | 43.7 | −7.2 |
| Cacá | 90 | 43.3 | −7.5 |
| Caique Gonçalves | 45 | 43.1 | −1.9 |
| Emmanuel Martínez | 90 | 42.8 | – |
| Edenilson | 45 | 42.7 | – |
| Renzo López | 23 | 42.3 | – |
| Erick | 68 | 41.1 | −7.4 |
| Nathan Mendes | 90 | 39.3 | +0.6 |
| Ramon | 90 | 38.0 | −1.1 |
| Anderson Pato | 23 | 35.4 | – |
| Camutanga | 90 | 33.6 | −11.5 |
| Marinho | 16 | 31.7 | – |
| Fabrício Santos | 15 | 30.7 | – |
Atlético Mineiro
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Minda | 15 | 64.6 | – |
| Junior Alonso | 90 | 61.3 | +13.0 |
| Renan Lodi | 90 | 60.5 | +19.1 |
| Ruan | 90 | 60.3 | +10.4 |
| Ángelo Preciado | 45 | 59.3 | +16.1 |
| Victor Hugo | 90 | 59.2 | +15.4 |
| Dudu | 32 | 54.7 | – |
| Reinier | 84 | 50.8 | +12.1 |
| Tomás Pérez | 58 | 49.8 | – |
| Iván Román | 45 | 47.6 | +1.2 |
| Mateo Cassierra | 16 | 44.3 | – |
| Everson | 90 | 41.8 | −8.8 |
| Alan Franco | 90 | 41.6 | −2.9 |
| Gustavo Scarpa | 74 | 39.7 | −5.7 |
| Tomás Cuello | 58 | 37.7 | −13.7 |
| Hulk | 32 | 32.9 | – |