Bundesliga 25/26 · 15 Mar 2026

VfB Stuttgart 1–0 RB Leipzig

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made VfB Stuttgart favourites at 58%.

VfB Stuttgart won a close one on the chances: 1.5 xG to 1.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Willi Orbán, 92.1 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Willi Orbán +35.2, Angelo Stiller +15.3, Alexander Nübel +14.4.

Well below it: Antonio Nusa −13.6, Ridle Baku −13.0, Yan Diomande −11.8.

Each side's last five results before this match.

7 Mar 2026	W 2–1	v FC Augsburg Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026	W 2–1	at Hamburger SV Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026	D 2–2	v Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
15 Feb 2026	D 2–2	v VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
11 Feb 2026	L 0–2	at FC Bayern München DFB-Pokal

1 Nov 2025	RB Leipzig 3–1 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Angelo Stiller Midfielder	90	0	0	–	67.5	+15.3
Alexander Nübel Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	65.4	+14.4
Deniz Undav Forward	90	1	0	1.19	57.4	+2.2
Chema Andrés Midfielder	11	0	0	–	57.4	–
Chris Führich Midfielder	68	0	1	0.01	53.9	−3.0
Maximilian Mittelstädt Defender	22	0	0	0.06	53.9	–
Bilal El Khannouss Midfielder	69	0	0	0.04	51.8	−2.7
Luca Jaquez Defender	90	0	0	–	50.2	−3.1
Ramon Hendriks Defender	90	0	0	–	45.4	−0.8
Atakan Karazor Midfielder	85	0	0	–	44.0	−1.8
Finn Jeltsch Defender	90	0	0	–	42.7	−4.6
Tiago Tomás Forward	21	0	0	–	42.1	–
Nikolas Nartey Midfielder	21	0	0	–	40.5	–
Ermedin Demirović Forward	69	0	0	0.11	39.9	−9.9
Lorenz Assignon Defender	9	0	0	–	39.0	–
Jamie Leweling Midfielder	81	0	0	0.05	38.6	−7.8

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Willi Orbán Defender	90	0.06	92.1	+35.2
David Raum Defender	90	–	67.7	+6.2
Castello Lukeba Defender	90	0.03	60.3	+10.1
Xaver Schlager Midfielder	19	–	58.3	–
Maarten Vandevoordt Goalkeeper	90	–	51.8	+0.7
Ezechiel Banzuzi Midfielder	64	–	50.2	−2.2
Yan Diomande Forward	90	–	48.3	−11.8
Nicolas Seiwald Midfielder	71	0.18	47.1	−1.2
Johan Bakayoko Forward	19	–	46.4	–
Conrad Harder Forward	19	–	44.5	–
Rômulo Forward	71	0.38	43.1	−8.9
Antonio Nusa Forward	71	–	38.3	−13.6
Christoph Baumgartner Midfielder	90	0.39	37.6	−9.1
Brajan Gruda Midfielder	26	0.14	37.0	–
Ridle Baku Defender	88	–	34.5	−13.0
Benjamin Henrichs Defender	8	–	31.0	–