Atlético Mineiro 1–0 São Paulo
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.3 – 0.9
- Actual xG
- 1.1 – 0.6
- Goals
- 1 – 0
Footybot made Atlético Mineiro favourites at 45%.
Atlético Mineiro won a close one on the chances: 1.1 xG to 0.6.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Danielzinho, 59.8 in 83′.
Well above their usual level: Danielzinho +14.2, Marcos Antônio +10.7, Damián Bobadilla +8.7.
Well below it: Renan Lodi −14.4, Victor Hugo −12.0, Junior Alonso −11.7.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Atlético Mineiro
| 14 Mar 2026 | L 0–2 | at Vitória |
| 11 Mar 2026 | W 1–0 | v Internacional |
| 26 Feb 2026 | L 1–2 | at Grêmio |
| 11 Feb 2026 | D 3–3 | v Remo |
| 4 Feb 2026 | L 0–1 | at Red Bull Bragantino |
São Paulo
| 15 Mar 2026 | W 2–1 | at Red Bull Bragantino |
| 12 Mar 2026 | W 2–0 | v Chapecoense |
| 25 Feb 2026 | W 1–0 | at Coritiba |
| 12 Feb 2026 | W 2–0 | v Grêmio |
| 4 Feb 2026 | D 1–1 | at Santos |
Head to head
| 24 Aug 2025 | São Paulo 2–0 Atlético Mineiro |
Atlético Mineiro
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bernard | 26 | 61.6 | – |
| Everson | 90 | 57.2 | +6.8 |
| Iván Román | 90 | 50.9 | +4.7 |
| Alan Franco | 90 | 45.0 | +1.0 |
| Hulk | 90 | 43.9 | −2.0 |
| Lyanco | 11 | 43.7 | – |
| Mateo Cassierra | 75 | 40.9 | – |
| Dudu | 15 | 40.8 | – |
| Tomás Cuello | 87 | 40.5 | −7.0 |
| Junior Alonso | 90 | 38.8 | −11.7 |
| Ángelo Preciado | 90 | 36.4 | −8.1 |
| Tomás Pérez | 64 | 35.4 | – |
| Victor Hugo | 90 | 33.7 | −12.0 |
| Renan Lodi | 90 | 30.2 | −14.4 |
São Paulo
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Danielzinho | 83 | 59.8 | +14.2 |
| Sabino | 90 | 57.0 | +7.5 |
| Marcos Antônio | 90 | 55.0 | +10.7 |
| Luciano | 29 | 54.5 | – |
| Damián Bobadilla | 90 | 53.1 | +8.7 |
| Rafael | 90 | 51.5 | −1.3 |
| Alan Javier Franco | 90 | 46.0 | +0.9 |
| Maik | 83 | 45.8 | +4.3 |
| Enzo Díaz | 90 | 43.1 | −0.4 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 90 | 41.8 | −8.8 |
| André Silva | 61 | 41.5 | −6.3 |
| Cédric Soares | 15 | 41.3 | – |
| Cauly | 61 | 39.8 | −9.6 |
| Lucas Moura | 13 | 38.9 | – |
| Ferreirinha | 15 | 30.6 | – |
| Gonzalo Tapia | 16 | 27.2 | – |