Vasco da Gama 2–1 Grêmio
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.9 – 1.0
- Actual xG
- 1.5 – 0.5
- Goals
- 2 – 1
Footybot made Vasco da Gama favourites at 58%.
Vasco da Gama won and made the better chances: 1.5 xG to 0.5.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Gustavo Martins, 63.3 in 45′.
Well above their usual level: Gustavo Martins +13.7, Caio Paulista +12.5, Viery +10.4.
Well below it: Fabián Balbuena −20.7, Nuno Moreira −15.6, Andrés Gómez −15.5.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Vasco da Gama
| 19 Mar 2026 | W 3–2 | v Fluminense |
| 15 Mar 2026 | D 3–3 | at Cruzeiro |
| 12 Mar 2026 | W 2–1 | v Palmeiras |
| 26 Feb 2026 | L 1–2 | at Santos |
| 12 Feb 2026 | L 0–1 | v Bahia |
Grêmio
| 19 Mar 2026 | W 2–0 | v Vitória |
| 16 Mar 2026 | D 1–1 | at Chapecoense |
| 13 Mar 2026 | D 1–1 | v Red Bull Bragantino |
| 26 Feb 2026 | W 2–1 | v Atlético Mineiro |
| 12 Feb 2026 | L 0–2 | at São Paulo |
Head to head
| 20 Nov 2025 | Grêmio 2–0 Vasco da Gama |
| 19 Jul 2025 | Vasco da Gama 1–1 Grêmio |
Vasco da Gama
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cuiabano | 82 | 52.9 | +2.5 |
| David | 69 | 49.7 | +2.0 |
| Léo Jardim | 90 | 46.8 | −0.0 |
| Paulo Henrique | 58 | 44.1 | −6.4 |
| Alan Saldivia | 90 | 44.1 | −7.0 |
| Matheus França | 22 | 43.8 | – |
| Tchê Tchê | 90 | 42.0 | −3.3 |
| Marino Hinestroza | 32 | 41.2 | – |
| Hugo Moura | 90 | 39.2 | −7.2 |
| Thiago Mendes | 68 | 38.9 | −13.8 |
| Robert Renan | 90 | 35.6 | −12.2 |
| Johan Rojas | 21 | 35.3 | – |
| Andrés Gómez | 90 | 35.2 | −15.5 |
| Lucas Piton | 8 | 34.6 | – |
| Nuno Moreira | 58 | 33.4 | −15.6 |
| Puma Rodríguez | 32 | 32.9 | – |
Grêmio
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Martins | 45 | 63.3 | +13.7 |
| Cristian Pavón | 90 | 63.2 | +7.6 |
| Caio Paulista | 90 | 54.3 | +12.5 |
| Carlos Vinícius | 75 | 53.5 | +2.5 |
| Viery | 90 | 50.7 | +10.4 |
| Tetê | 45 | 50.1 | −1.7 |
| Willian | 34 | 49.6 | – |
| Arthur | 90 | 47.1 | −2.0 |
| Martin Braithwaite | 15 | 46.6 | – |
| José Enamorado | 45 | 45.7 | +3.5 |
| Weverton | 90 | 45.0 | −0.8 |
| Leonel Pérez | 90 | 41.3 | – |
| Gabriel Mec | 26 | 41.0 | – |
| Juan Nardoni | 56 | 40.5 | −0.7 |
| Francis Amuzu | 64 | 38.2 | −5.7 |
| Fabián Balbuena | 45 | 25.6 | −20.7 |