FA Cup 25/26, Round 3 · 10 Jan 2026

Tottenham Hotspur 1–2 Aston Villa

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Tottenham Hotspur favourites at 45%.

Aston Villa won a close one on the chances: 1.1 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Morgan Rogers, 68.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Morgan Rogers +18.3, Mathys Tel +16.3, Emiliano Buendía +13.3.

Well below it: Ben Davies −18.7, Randal Kolo Muani −9.8, Ian Maatsen −9.7.

Each side's last five results before this match.

7 Jan 2026	L 2–3	at Bournemouth Premier League
4 Jan 2026	D 1–1	v Sunderland Premier League
1 Jan 2026	D 0–0	at Brentford Premier League
28 Dec 2025	W 1–0	at Crystal Palace Premier League
20 Dec 2025	L 1–2	v Liverpool FC Premier League

7 Jan 2026	D 0–0	at Crystal Palace Premier League
3 Jan 2026	W 3–1	v Nottingham Forest Premier League
30 Dec 2025	L 1–4	at Arsenal Premier League
27 Dec 2025	W 2–1	at Chelsea Premier League
21 Dec 2025	W 2–1	v Manchester United Premier League

19 Oct 2025	Tottenham Hotspur 1–2 Aston Villa Premier League

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Mathys Tel Forward	78	0	0	0.36	63.1	+16.3
João Palhinha Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	57.9	+7.1
Kevin Danso Defender	90	0	0	0.25	54.0	−9.4
Xavi Simons Midfielder	90	0	0	0.11	52.9	+3.2
Wilson Odobert Forward	83	1	0	0.15	50.5	+1.6
Pedro Porro Defender	83	0	0	0.03	50.3	+2.3
Guglielmo Vicario Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	49.4	+0.4
Micky van de Ven Defender	90	0	0	–	45.7	−1.7
Archie Gray Midfielder	90	0	0	–	43.4	−3.2
Dane Scarlett Forward	12	0	0	–	42.6	–
Richarlison Forward	31	0	0	–	42.1	–
Randal Kolo Muani Forward	59	0	1	–	41.1	−9.8
Ben Davies Defender	90	0	0	0.04	38.5	−18.7
Dominic Solanke Forward	13	0	0	–	31.0	–
Djed Spence Defender	13	0	0	–	17.8	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Jadon Sancho Midfielder	25	0	0	–	75.7	–
Morgan Rogers Midfielder	90	1	0	0.21	68.5	+18.3
Youri Tielemans Midfielder	81	0	0	0.04	67.3	+12.4
Emiliano Buendía Midfielder	90	1	1	0.42	63.5	+13.3
Marco Bizot Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	58.4	+2.3
Ezri Konsa Defender	90	0	0	–	53.4	+3.4
John McGinn Midfielder	65	0	0	0.05	51.3	+3.6
Donyell Malen Forward	65	0	1	0.10	49.8	−0.4
Lucas Digne Defender	12	0	0	–	49.7	–
Pau Torres Defender	90	0	0	0.02	47.2	+2.2
Lamare Bogarde Midfielder	90	0	0	–	47.1	+2.0
Matty Cash Defender	79	0	0	0.01	45.7	−5.0
Ian Maatsen Defender	78	0	0	0.26	42.6	−9.7
Ollie Watkins Forward	25	0	0	0.02	41.2	–
Boubacar Kamara Midfielder	9	0	0	–	38.2	–
Andrés García Defender	11	0	0	–	31.0	–