Premier League 26/27 · 24 Oct 2026

Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester City

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot saw it as open: Aston Villa 37%, the draw 27%, Manchester City 36%.

Aston Villa won although Manchester City made the better chances (1.8 xG to 0.6): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Abdukodir Khusanov, 85.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Abdukodir Khusanov +28.0, Iliman Ndiaye +21.6, Zion Suzuki +17.8.

Each side's last five results before this match.

21 Oct 2026	W 3–1	v Viking FK Champions League
17 Oct 2026	W 1–0	at Newcastle United Premier League
14 Oct 2026	W 6–0	v Fenerbahçe Champions League
10 Oct 2026	D 2–2	v Brentford Premier League
19 Sep 2026	W 3–2	at Tottenham Hotspur Premier League

20 Oct 2026	W 5–1	v AEK Athens Champions League
17 Oct 2026	W 3–2	v Ipswich Town Premier League
14 Oct 2026	L 2–4	v Paris Saint-Germain Champions League
11 Oct 2026	W 3–0	at Liverpool FC Premier League
20 Sep 2026	W 5–3	v Sunderland Premier League

24 May 2026	Manchester City 1–2 Aston Villa Premier League
26 Oct 2025	Aston Villa 1–0 Manchester City Premier League

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Zion Suzuki Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	69.6	+17.8
Nicolas Jackson Forward	82	2	0	0.36	68.0	+14.3
John McGinn Midfielder	66	0	1	–	60.3	+10.0
Matty Cash Defender	90	0	0	–	52.9	+11.3
Brian Madjo Forward	8	0	0	–	52.1	–
Ian Maatsen Defender	90	0	0	0.07	48.1	+5.8
Boubacar Kamara Midfielder	90	0	0	–	47.0	−4.3
João Gomes Midfielder	82	0	0	–	43.7	−5.1
Ibrahim Mbaye Forward	31	0	1	–	43.0	–
Alysson Midfielder	59	0	0	0.10	43.0	−6.9
Leon Goretzka Midfielder	8	0	0	–	41.1	–
Victor Lindelöf Defender	90	0	0	–	40.5	−12.2
Johan Manzambi Midfielder	66	0	0	0.07	39.7	−18.0
Ross Barkley Midfielder	24	0	0	–	37.3	–
Pau Torres Defender	90	0	0	–	36.9	−8.5
Emiliano Buendía Midfielder	24	0	0	–	28.0	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Ryan McAidoo Midfielder	21	0	0	–	100.0	–
Abdukodir Khusanov Defender	90	0	0	0.02	85.5	+28.0
Jérémy Doku Midfielder	90	0	0	0.16	82.3	+15.9
Iliman Ndiaye Midfielder	69	0	1	0.06	74.2	+21.6
Elliot Anderson Midfielder	90	0	0	–	73.5	+10.6
Joško Gvardiol Defender	90	0	0	0.68	72.6	+16.8
Enzo Fernández Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	68.7	+4.3
Rúben Dias Defender	90	0	0	–	66.0	+11.6
Rayan Cherki Midfielder	45	0	0	0.39	62.5	−9.5
Phil Foden Midfielder	45	0	0	0.04	61.9	−2.4
Erling Haaland Forward	90	1	0	0.40	56.6	−6.6
Rico Lewis Defender	45	0	0	–	43.3	−4.5
Marc Guéhi Defender	45	0	0	–	32.5	−30.7
Gianluigi Donnarumma Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	18.8	−32.0