Manchester City 1–2 Aston Villa
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 2.1 – 0.8
- Actual xG
- 1.3 – 1.7
- Goals
- 1 – 2
Footybot made Manchester City favourites at 67%.
Aston Villa won a close one on the chances: 1.7 xG to 1.3.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ollie Watkins, 84.6 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Ollie Watkins +27.7, Ian Maatsen +25.9.
Well below it: Rico Lewis −18.6, Rúben Dias −14.1, Sávio −14.0.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Manchester City
| 19 May 2026 | D 1–1 | at Bournemouth |
| 13 May 2026 | W 3–0 | v Crystal Palace |
| 9 May 2026 | W 3–0 | v Brentford |
| 4 May 2026 | D 3–3 | at Everton |
| 22 Apr 2026 | W 1–0 | at Burnley |
Aston Villa
| 20 May 2026 | W 3–0 | at SC Freiburg |
| 15 May 2026 | W 4–2 | v Liverpool FC |
| 10 May 2026 | D 2–2 | at Burnley |
| 7 May 2026 | W 4–0 | v Nottingham Forest |
| 3 May 2026 | L 1–2 | v Tottenham Hotspur |
Head to head
| 26 Oct 2025 | Aston Villa 1–0 Manchester City |
Manchester City
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joško Gvardiol | 12 | 73.7 | – |
| Antoine Semenyo | 58 | 55.5 | +2.7 |
| Rayan Aït-Nouri | 13 | 55.3 | – |
| John Stones | 78 | 54.2 | −0.2 |
| Nico González | 90 | 52.7 | −2.5 |
| Jérémy Doku | 13 | 50.3 | – |
| Phil Foden | 90 | 50.3 | −5.7 |
| Mateo Kovačić | 31 | 50.2 | – |
| Bernardo Silva | 59 | 48.4 | −13.2 |
| Sávio | 90 | 44.6 | −14.0 |
| Rayan Cherki | 32 | 43.0 | – |
| James Trafford | 90 | 41.8 | −1.9 |
| Rúben Dias | 90 | 41.3 | −14.1 |
| Nathan Aké | 77 | 40.9 | −10.9 |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 77 | 39.7 | −8.8 |
| Rico Lewis | 90 | 33.1 | −18.6 |
Aston Villa
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Youri Tielemans | 17 | 100.0 | – |
| Ollie Watkins | 90 | 84.6 | +27.7 |
| Ian Maatsen | 90 | 73.1 | +25.9 |
| Pau Torres | 17 | 67.1 | – |
| Andrés García | 45 | 64.8 | – |
| Emiliano Buendía | 90 | 60.5 | +6.0 |
| Amadou Onana | 17 | 53.8 | – |
| Tyrone Mings | 90 | 52.7 | +0.8 |
| Douglas Luiz | 73 | 51.2 | −6.7 |
| Marco Bizot | 90 | 50.9 | −7.4 |
| Victor Lindelöf | 73 | 50.8 | +5.8 |
| Leon Bailey | 90 | 47.3 | −2.4 |
| John McGinn | 16 | 44.7 | – |
| Lamare Bogarde | 73 | 44.5 | −0.5 |
| Ross Barkley | 86 | 43.2 | −10.6 |
| Matty Cash | 45 | 35.9 | −6.4 |